Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 31 August 2025, Sunday
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Alexander Donski |
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Mert Alkaya |
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- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alexander Donski 57% | Mert Alkaya 43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexander Donski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Donski's performance.Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mert Alkaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+4.8%)Alexander Donski - Mert Alkaya Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alkaya (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2.5 Games - Donski (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Donski (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alkaya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Donski is ranked ATP: 670. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 648.Donski has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Alkaya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match. We predict that Alkaya will win today's game, with odds of 2.05. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;