Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Marburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Marburg 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Michel Hopp		Lasse Poertner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.67	2.07
	1.67	2.23
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.54	2.40
	1.70	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)	2.11 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michel Hopp
55.8%

Lasse Poertner
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michel Hopp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michel Hopp's performance.

Lasse Poertner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lasse Poertner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michel Hopp than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michel Hopp that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lasse Poertner than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lasse Poertner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michel Hopp - Lasse Poertner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hopp is ranked ATP: 885. Poertner is ranked ATP: 1539.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Poertner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michel Hopp
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Michel Hopp - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Michel Hopp	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Marcus Walters - Michel Hopp	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Michel Hopp - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Michel Hopp - Niels McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL
- Lasse Poertner
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Lasse Poertner - Julien Penzlin	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Lasse Poertner - Nikolai Barsukov	Poertner L. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Sander Jong - Lasse Poertner	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Lasse Poertner - Florian Broska	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.05.26	Mac Visser - Lasse Poertner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 W?LWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michel Hopp
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Miles Jones - Michel Hopp	✺

Michel Hopp - Lasse Poertner

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Michel Hopp - Lasse Poertner Predictions

Preview

Form

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