Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Michele Ribecai		Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.32	1.58	Watch
	2.33	1.68
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.03)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
42.5%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michele Ribecai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Michele Ribecai - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ribecai will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 283. Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 237.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ribecai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Michele Ribecai - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.64%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL
- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Martin Krumich - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Milos Karol - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2 ✺
11.06.26	Zsombor Piros - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL

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