Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Milos Karol		Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.10	1.70
	2.22	1.72
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milos Karol
43.8%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+5%)

Milos Karol - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karol is ranked ATP: 461. Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 237.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Reis Da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.53%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Michael Vrbensky - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
07.06.26	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Alex Molcan - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Milos Karol - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Marek Gengel - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW
- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
11.06.26	Zsombor Piros - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Lautaro Midon - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL

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