Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Michele Ribecai		Leo Raquillet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1	Watch
	1.3	3.1	Watch
	1.29	3.69
	1.25	3.57	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	3.43 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
72.8%

Leo Raquillet
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Leo Raquillet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michele Ribecai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leo Raquillet than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leo Raquillet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michele Ribecai - Leo Raquillet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 389. Raquillet is ranked ATP: 685.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ribecai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ribecai is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Tiago Cacao - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Miguel Semedo - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL
- Leo Raquillet
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Charles Broom - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Milos Karol - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Leo Raquillet - Filip Jeff Planinsek	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Leo Raquillet - Jakub Nicod	Raquillet L. walkover ✺
05.03.26	Leo Raquillet - Conor Gannon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLW?W

Michele Ribecai - Leo Raquillet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide