Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.2	1.57
	2.44	1.63
	2.41	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.29	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.19)	1.55 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
39.9%

Michele Ribecai
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gonzalo Villanueva - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Villanueva will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ribecai will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Villanueva is ranked ATP: 352. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 265.

Villanueva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ribecai is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Villanueva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ribecai is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Giammarco Gandolfi	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Kasra Rahmani	Rahmani K. Retired ✺
07.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LWW
- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Michele Ribecai - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
06.07.26	Franco Roncadelli - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Niels McDonald	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

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