Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Michiel De Krom		Alexander Weis

	1	2
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.28	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.84)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michiel De Krom
40.9%

Alexander Weis
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michiel De Krom's form might have worsened.

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Weis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michiel De Krom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Weis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michiel De Krom - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Krom is ranked ATP: 453. Weis is ranked ATP: 447.

Recent matches De Krom is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

De Krom could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Michiel De Krom - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Weis - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
07.02.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Sergi Fita Juan - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Samuele Pieri - Michiel De Krom	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Naoya Honda - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Michiel De Krom - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
07.03.25	Sergey Fomin - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Robert Guna - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Alexander Weis - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Viacheslav Bielinskyi - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

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