Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 10 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Giuseppe La Vela		Alexander Weis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.40
	2.45	1.46	Watch
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	3.55	1.3
	2.7	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.56)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giuseppe La Vela
33%

Alexander Weis
67%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giuseppe La Vela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giuseppe La Vela than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giuseppe La Vela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Weis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Giuseppe La Vela - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

La Vela is ranked ATP: 543., and Weis is ranked ATP: 624..

La Vela has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Weis is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

La Vela could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Weis is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Weis in today's match, at odds of 1.44.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, La Vela has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:10 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Giuseppe La Vela - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Weis - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.16%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giuseppe La Vela
ITF Tournaments
13.10.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Giuseppe La Vela	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Kalin Ivanovski - Giuseppe La Vela	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	John Sperle - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Jay Clarke - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
13.10.26	Alexander Weis - Jadon Price	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Daniel Michalski - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Alexander Weis - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Rares Teodor Pieleanu - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.03.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Alexander Weis	0:2
20.02.25	Giuseppe La Vela - Alexander Weis	0:2
15.11.24	Giuseppe La Vela - Alexander Weis	0:2
03.05.24	Giuseppe La Vela - Alexander Weis	0:2
16.08.23	Alexander Weis - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0

Giuseppe La Vela - Alexander Weis