The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Michiel De Krom 31.2%
Aristotelis Thanos 68.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michiel De Krom's form might have worsened.
Aristotelis Thanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aristotelis Thanos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michiel De Krom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aristotelis Thanos than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aristotelis Thanos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
De Krom is ranked ATP: 461.Thanos is ranked ATP: 500.
In recent matches, De Krom has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Thanos is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
De Krom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
We predict that Thanos will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Last Results with these Odds
Michiel De Krom - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Aristotelis Thanos - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.