Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santander, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday


	Michiel De Krom		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.28
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.64	1.25
	3.23	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.4	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.19)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michiel De Krom
27.6%

Lorenzo Giustino
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Michiel De Krom - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Krom is ranked ATP: 532. Giustino is ranked ATP: 340.

Recent performances by De Krom have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Giustino is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Giustino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Giustino is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Giustino will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Miguel Damas - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Ignacio Parisca - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Michiel De Krom - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Matisse Bobichon	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

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