Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Antalya 16, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Michiel De Krom		Maxwell Exsted

	1	2
	1.85	1.85
	2.04	1.78
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.91	1.78	Watch
	1.92	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.65)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michiel De Krom
48.1%

Maxwell Exsted
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michiel De Krom's form might have worsened.

Maxwell Exsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maxwell Exsted's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michiel De Krom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxwell Exsted than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxwell Exsted, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michiel De Krom - Maxwell Exsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Krom is ranked ATP: 638. Exsted is ranked ATP: 1264.

De Krom has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Exsted is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

De Krom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
11.12.25	Michiel De Krom - Nikola Jovic	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Michiel De Krom - Matthias Ujvary	2:1 ✺
04.12.25	Diego Fernandez Flores - Michiel De Krom	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Toprak Avcibasi - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Maxwell Exsted
ITF Tournaments
11.12.25	Dian Nedev - Maxwell Exsted	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Maxwell Exsted - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Miha Vetrih - Maxwell Exsted	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Mariano Tammaro - Maxwell Exsted	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Maxwell Exsted - Jack Kennedy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Michiel De Krom - Maxwell Exsted: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide