Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Pedro Rodenas		Michiel De Krom

	1	2
	1.46	2.65
	1.56	2.22	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	2.5 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Rodenas
62.7%

Michiel De Krom
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Rodenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Rodenas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Pedro Rodenas - Michiel De Krom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodenas is ranked ATP: 828. De Krom is ranked ATP: 642.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rodenas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rodenas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Michiel De Krom - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Rodenas
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Pavel Lagutin - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Lucca Helguera Casado	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Stefan Palosi	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Raul Brancaccio - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL
- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Pieter De Lange - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Gabriele Bosio - Michiel De Krom	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Javier Molino - Michiel De Krom	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Alastair Gray - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Pedro Rodenas - Michiel De Krom	2:0

Pedro Rodenas - Michiel De Krom: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide