Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Tarragona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Michiel De Krom		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.51
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.19)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michiel De Krom
37.6%

Michael Geerts
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michiel De Krom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michiel De Krom's form might have worsened.

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Geerts's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Preview

De Krom is ranked ATP: 457. Geerts is ranked ATP: 303.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Geerts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Geerts will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.18%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michiel De Krom
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Valentin Vacherot - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Michiel De Krom - Alexander Weis	Weis A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.02.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Sergi Fita Juan - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Samuele Pieri - Michiel De Krom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?LWW
- Michael Geerts
ITF Tournaments
23.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Michael Geerts - Toby Alex Kodat	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Michael Geerts - James Story	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Michael Geerts - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Michiel De Krom - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide