Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Mickael Kaouk		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
	3.30	1.28
	3.15	1.32
	3.66	1.3
	3.23	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.56)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mickael Kaouk
28.3%

Marvin Moeller
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mickael Kaouk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mickael Kaouk's form might have worsened.

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marvin Moeller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickael Kaouk than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mickael Kaouk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marvin Moeller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mickael Kaouk - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moeller (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Moeller (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marvin Moeller will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Moeller (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Kaouk is ranked ATP: 1035. Moeller is ranked ATP: 372.

Recent performances by Kaouk have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moeller is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moeller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moeller might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Moeller will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mickael Kaouk
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Dali Blanch - Mickael Kaouk	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.06.26	Mickael Kaouk - Menelaos Efstathiou	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Mickael Kaouk - Filiberto Fumagalli	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Arthur Bonnaud - Mickael Kaouk	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Yoshka Sborowsky - Mickael Kaouk	Sborowsky Y. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWW?
- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Tom Zeuch	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Marvin Moeller - David Tixhon	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Leo Deflandre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW

Mickael Kaouk - Marvin Moeller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide