Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco (Spain), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 July 2024, Friday

Referee: Leal M. (Por)


	Miguel Damas		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.27	1.68
	2.15	1.71	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.13	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.46)	1.7 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
44.8%

Egor Gerasimov
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miguel Damas's performance.

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egor Gerasimov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Damas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egor Gerasimov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Miguel Damas - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gerasimov will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Gerasimov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gerasimov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Damas to win the game is with odds 2.02.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
17.07.24	Miguel Damas - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
15.07.24	Vadym Ursu - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.24	Ivan Gakhov - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Miguel Damas - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
05.07.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWW
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Challenger
17.07.24	Alexander Donski - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
15.07.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
26.06.24	Federico Gaio - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
17.06.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL

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