Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)


	Federico Gaio		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	1.92	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
46.6%

Egor Gerasimov
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Federico Gaio - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gaio will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Gerasimov will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gerasimov: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gaio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
24.06.24	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
23.06.24	Federico Gaio - Blake Mott	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Federico Gaio - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.06.24	Federico Gaio - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
07.06.24	Federico Gaio - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
23.05.24	Robin Bertrand - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
22.05.24	Matias Soto - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
21.05.24	Menelaos Efstathiou - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW

Federico Gaio - Egor Gerasimov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide