Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia (Spain), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Referee: Poncho A. (Esp)


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.09	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.13	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
44.3%

Egor Gerasimov
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gerasimov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gerasimov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Gerasimov to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarez Varona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
22.07.24	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
15.07.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
04.07.24	Lilian Marmousez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
03.07.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
27.06.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Fabrizio Andaloro - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	August Holmgren - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
19.07.24	Miguel Damas - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Alexander Donski - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
15.07.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.07.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Egor Gerasimov	1:2

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Egor Gerasimov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide