Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 (Portugal) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: Leal M. (Por)


	Miguel Damas		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.31	1.58
	2.32	1.59
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.8)	1.58 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
40.9%

Gauthier Onclin
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Damas's form might have worsened.

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gauthier Onclin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Damas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gauthier Onclin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Miguel Damas - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Users Predictions: Gauthier Onclin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Damas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Onclin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Onclin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Marco Cecchinato - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Miguel Damas - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Damian Wenger - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- Gauthier Onclin
ITF Tournaments
31.03.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Boris Fassbender - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Adan Freire Da Silva - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Miguel Damas - Gauthier Onclin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide