Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TODI (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 14 August 2023, Monday


	Miguel Damas		Orlando Luz

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.53
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.41	1.52	Watch
	2.35	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
38.6%

Orlando Luz
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Orlando Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Damas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orlando Luz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Miguel Damas - Orlando Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Luz will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Luz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Luz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Damas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
13.08.23	Fausto Tabacco - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
09.08.23	Miguel Damas - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
08.08.23	Felix Gill - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
07.08.23	Jonas Forejtek - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
30.07.23	Kenny De Schepper - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL
- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
13.08.23	Massimo Giunta - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
09.08.23	Manuel Guinard - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
08.08.23	Orlando Luz - Ji Sung Nam	2:1 ✺
07.08.23	Orlando Luz - Niklas Koch	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.23	Orlando Luz - Sebastian Fanselow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.09.19	Orlando Luz - Miguel Damas	2:0

Miguel Damas - Orlando Luz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide