Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Tiago Pereira		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.3	Watch
	2.97	1.34	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	2.99	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.88)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
29.7%

Alexander Ritschard
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Tiago Pereira - Alexander Ritschard Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Pereira (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 265. Ritschard is ranked ATP: 496.

Pereira has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ritschard is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ritschard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ritschard is the team to beat.

We predict that Ritschard will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Lukas Neumayer	Canceled ✺
17.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Alberto Barroso Campos	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 L?LLL
- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Aidan McHugh - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Matisse Bobichon - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Alexander Ritschard - Dominik Kellovsky	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Alexander Ritschard - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

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