Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Miguel Tobon		Juan Bautista Torres

	1	2
	2.35	1.53
	2.42	1.5
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.51
	2.35	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (3.16)	1.5 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
38.3%

Juan Bautista Torres
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miguel Tobon's performance.

Juan Bautista Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Bautista Torres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Tobon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Bautista Torres than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Bautista Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Miguel Tobon - Juan Bautista Torres Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tobon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Torres will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 497., and Torres is ranked ATP: 277..

In recent outings, Tobon has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Torres has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Torres may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Torres carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Tobon has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:6 (averaging 0.3:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Tobon - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Juan Bautista Torres - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 70.85%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Miguel Tobon - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Miguel Tobon - Koray Kirci	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Miguel Tobon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWW
- Juan Bautista Torres
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Jonas Forejtek - Juan Bautista Torres	Canceled ✺
17.08.26	Marek Gengel - Juan Bautista Torres	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Marco Cecchinato - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Miguel Tobon	2:1
17.11.25	Miguel Tobon - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2
28.10.25	Miguel Tobon - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2

Miguel Tobon - Juan Bautista Torres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide