Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sion, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Mika Brunold		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.68	2.12
	1.68	2.27
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.12
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	2.13 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Brunold
56.2%

Calvin Hemery
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Brunold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mika Brunold's performance.

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvin Hemery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mika Brunold that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvin Hemery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mika Brunold - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brunold is ranked ATP: 423. Hemery is ranked ATP: 326.

Brunold has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hemery is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brunold won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Brunold
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Mika Brunold - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Alex Degabriele - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Harold Mayot - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Petr Nesterov - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
ATP Gstaad
12.07.26	Federico Cina - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Daniel Michalski - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.07.26	Calvin Hemery - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Calvin Hemery	Coulibaly E. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.07.25	Mika Brunold - Calvin Hemery	1:2

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