Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday


	Mika Petkovic		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.60	2.20
	1.61	2.38
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.36
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)	2.28 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Petkovic
59.1%

Federico Arnaboldi
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Petkovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mika Petkovic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mika Petkovic - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Petkovic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Petkovic is ranked ATP: 432. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 521.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Petkovic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Arnaboldi - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Petkovic
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Daniel Salazar	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Mika Petkovic - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Mika Petkovic - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.26	Mika Petkovic - Tim Handel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Edoardo Cherie Ligniere - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Bondioli	Bondioli F. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Stefano Reitano - Federico Arnaboldi	Arnaboldi F. Retired
ATP Challenger
09.08.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WL??L

Mika Petkovic - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide