Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Federico Arnaboldi		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.36	Watch
	3.35	1.30	Watch
	3.25	1.40
	3.41	1.27	Watch
	3.00	1.38
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	2.90	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.23)	1.35 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
30.3%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Federico Arnaboldi - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Arnaboldi (1.68) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 521. Varillas is ranked ATP: 234.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Varillas is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arnaboldi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Arnaboldi - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.68%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Bondioli	Bondioli F. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Stefano Reitano - Federico Arnaboldi	Arnaboldi F. Retired
ATP Challenger
09.08.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Leonardo Primucci	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ??LLW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Luka Pavlovic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.26	Mili Poljicak - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0

Federico Arnaboldi - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide