Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Mika Petkovic		Francesco Forti

	1	2
	2.15	1.62
	2.12	1.64
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.64
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.84)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Petkovic
43.6%

Francesco Forti
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Petkovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mika Petkovic's form might have worsened.

Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Forti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Petkovic than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mika Petkovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Forti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mika Petkovic - Francesco Forti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Petkovic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Forti will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Petkovic is ranked ATP: 458., and Forti is ranked ATP: 357..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Forti may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Mika Petkovic - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Francesco Forti - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Petkovic
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Raul Brancaccio - Mika Petkovic	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLL
- Francesco Forti
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Francesco Forti - Alejandro Juan Mano	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Ryan Nijboer - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Francesco Forti - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Mika Petkovic - Francesco Forti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide