Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Mika Petkovic		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.40	1.28
	3.45	1.25	Watch
	3.92	1.29
	3.6	1.24	Watch
	3.85	1.27
	3.57	1.25	Watch
	3.55	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.16)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Petkovic
25.7%

Andrea Pellegrino
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Petkovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Petkovic than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mika Petkovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mika Petkovic - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Petkovic is ranked ATP: 432. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 129.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Petkovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pellegrino is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Petkovic
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Daniel Salazar	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Mika Petkovic - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Mika Petkovic - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Colton Smith - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW

Mika Petkovic - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide