Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 42, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Mika Petkovic		Luca Wiedenmann

	1	2
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.81	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.59)	1.84 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Petkovic
50.2%

Luca Wiedenmann
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Petkovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mika Petkovic's form might have worsened.

Luca Wiedenmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Wiedenmann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Petkovic than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mika Petkovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Wiedenmann than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Wiedenmann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mika Petkovic - Luca Wiedenmann Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Petkovic is ranked ATP: 776. Wiedenmann is ranked ATP: 1045.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Petkovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Petkovic
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Mika Petkovic - Matei Todoran	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Mika Petkovic - Savva Rybkin	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Max Schoenhaus - Mika Petkovic	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Jelle Sels - Mika Petkovic	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Mika Petkovic - Kyle McKay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW
- Luca Wiedenmann
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Luca Wiedenmann - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Luca Wiedenmann - Noel Larwig	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Luca Wiedenmann - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Luca Wiedenmann - Savva Rybkin	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Igor Kudriashov - Luca Wiedenmann	Wiedenmann L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLW?

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