Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2 (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 September 2024, Tuesday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Evgeny Donskoy

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.3
	1.27	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.66
	1.29	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.43	Watch
	1.27	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	3.44 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
72.8%

Evgeny Donskoy
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mikhail Kukushkin's performance.

Evgeny Donskoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evgeny Donskoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikhail Kukushkin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evgeny Donskoy than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evgeny Donskoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mikhail Kukushkin - Evgeny Donskoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 118. Donskoy is ranked ATP: 394.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kukushkin won 3.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kukushkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kukushkin is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kukushkin won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Michael Geerts - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Marco Trungelliti - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Cooper Williams - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW
- Evgeny Donskoy
ATP Challenger
08.09.24	Evgeny Donskoy - Pengyu Lu	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Evgeny Donskoy - Ling Zhang	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Blake Mott - Evgeny Donskoy	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Kiranpal Pannu - Evgeny Donskoy	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Evgeny Donskoy - Seong Chan Hong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Moscow
15.10.19	Evgeny Donskoy - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2
16.10.18	Evgeny Donskoy - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0
ATP US Open
30.08.17	Evgeny Donskoy - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:3
ATP Beijing
30.09.16	Evgeny Donskoy - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
18.09.16	Evgeny Donskoy - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:3
ATP Munich
26.04.16	Mikhail Kukushkin - Evgeny Donskoy	Donskoy E. retired
ATP Challenger
02.08.15	Mikhail Kukushkin - Evgeny Donskoy	2:0

Mikhail Kukushkin - Evgeny Donskoy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide