Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.37	1.52	Watch
	2.56	1.55
	2.36	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.37)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
38.1%

Giulio Zeppieri
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giulio Zeppieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mikhail Kukushkin - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukushkin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Kukushkin (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukushkin (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 263. Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 156.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kukushkin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zeppieri will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kukushkin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mikhail Kukushkin - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.09%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - James Kent Trotter	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - James Kent Trotter	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLW
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
11.02.26	Giulio Zeppieri - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	David Goffin - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Giulio Zeppieri - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Brandon Holt - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Giulio Zeppieri - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0

Mikhail Kukushkin - Giulio Zeppieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide