Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Giulio Zeppieri		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.8	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.81	2.02	Watch
	1.77	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)	1.97 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Zeppieri
52.5%

Rei Sakamoto
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Zeppieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giulio Zeppieri's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Giulio Zeppieri - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zeppieri will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakamoto: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rei Sakamoto will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 156. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 202.

Sakamoto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.7%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Brandon Holt - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Giulio Zeppieri - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Chris Rodesch - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Oskari Paldanius - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Rei Sakamoto - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Rei Sakamoto - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Akira Santillan - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

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