Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Navalon I. (Esp)


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.3	1.28
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	3.64	1.3
	3.64	1.3
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	4.4	1.19	Watch
	3.45	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.27)	1.28 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
26.1%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikhail Kukushkin's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kukushkin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moreno De Alboran is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moreno De Alboran could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Moreno De Alboran is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Moreno De Alboran to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kukushkin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Estoril
30.03.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - David Jorda Sanchis	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Terence Atmane - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.24	Adam Walton - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
08.03.24	Zizou Bergs - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Billy Harris - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL?LW
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Marrakech
05.04.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	David Goffin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.06.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1

Mikhail Kukushkin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide