Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday


	Zizou Bergs		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.34
	1.65	2.34
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.59	2.26	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
58.7%

Mikhail Kukushkin
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Zizou Bergs - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Bergs is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kukushkin is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bergs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Challenger
06.03.24	Zizou Bergs - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Zizou Bergs - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Joris De Loore - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.24	Zizou Bergs - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Zizou Bergs - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
07.03.24	Billy Harris - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Gigante	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
02.03.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WW?WW

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