Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Janzen T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.6
	1.56	2.6
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.53	Watch
	1.54	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.33)	2.56 ↓ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
62.6%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreno De Alboran is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Marrakech
04.04.24	Daniel Evans - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Matteo Gigante - Roberto Carballes Baena	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 W?LW?
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Marrakech
04.04.24	David Goffin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL

Roberto Carballes Baena - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide