Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence (France) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Robein A. (Fra)


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.45
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.51	1.51
	2.62	1.44
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.81)	1.48 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
37.2%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikhail Kukushkin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Llamas Ruiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kukushkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Llamas Ruiz will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
29.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Federico Coria - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
12.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
11.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WL?WW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
29.04.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.24	Lukas Klein - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Federico Coria - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Quentin Halys - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.24	Marco Trungelliti - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL

Mikhail Kukushkin - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide