Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Referee: Sierra J. (Esp)


	Stefano Napolitano		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.6	2.44
	1.6	2.44
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.61)	2.29 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
58.7%

Mikhail Kukushkin
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Stefano Napolitano - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefano Napolitano will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
12.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Vit Kopriva - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.24	Matteo Martineau - Stefano Napolitano	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Francesco Passaro - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWW?L
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
12.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
11.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
30.03.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - David Jorda Sanchis	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Terence Atmane - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLL

Stefano Napolitano - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide