Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Mili Poljicak		Antoine Ghibaudo

	1	2
	1.16	4.6
	1.2	4.92
	1.08	6.59	Watch
	1.17	4.5
	1.18	4.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.42)	5 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
81.2%

Antoine Ghibaudo
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mili Poljicak's performance.

Antoine Ghibaudo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antoine Ghibaudo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mili Poljicak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antoine Ghibaudo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mili Poljicak - Antoine Ghibaudo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Poljicak will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 313. Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 325.

Poljicak is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ghibaudo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Poljicak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Poljicak might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Antoine Ghibaudo - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Denis Klok	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Mili Poljicak	Poljicak M. Retired ✺
03.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Henri Squire - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WW?WW
- Antoine Ghibaudo
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Sebastian Sorger - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Simon Reveniau - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Viktor Durasovic - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Michael Agwi - Antoine Ghibaudo	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW

Mili Poljicak - Antoine Ghibaudo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide