Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Michele Ribecai		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.62	1.54
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 (2.55)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
36.7%

Mili Poljicak
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Michele Ribecai - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 350. Poljicak is ranked ATP: 304.

Ribecai has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Poljicak is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Poljicak will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Poljicak will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Manas Manoj Dhamne	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Henri Squire - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Mili Poljicak - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Mili Poljicak - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Matej Dodig - Mili Poljicak	Dodig M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWW?

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