Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Augsburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Augsburg 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mili Poljicak		Cedrik-Marcel Stebe

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.19
	1.71	2.09	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
57.3%

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mili Poljicak - Cedrik Marcel Stebe Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Poljicak will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Stebe will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stebe: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Poljicak (votes: 2 - 50%). Stebe (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 279. Stebe is ranked ATP: 817.

Recent form of Poljicak has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Stebe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Poljicak might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mili Poljicak - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Richard Berankis - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Federico Cina - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
09.08.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Tiago Pereira - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWL

Mili Poljicak - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe