Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Mili Poljicak		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.66	2.09
	1.74	2.21
	1.65	2.14	Watch
	1.71	2.18	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)	2.13 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
55.9%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	0%	73.9%

Mili Poljicak - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 352. Varillas is ranked ATP: 274.

Both players have triumphed in their latest matches.

Poljicak is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Poljicak will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Mili Poljicak - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Mili Poljicak - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Mili Poljicak - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Mili Poljicak - Enrico Baldisserri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Jacopo Vasami - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Stefan Latinovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW

Mili Poljicak - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide