Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	Mili Poljicak		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.81	1.95
	1.99	1.85
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.80	Watch
	1.86	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
49.6%

Sumit Nagal
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mili Poljicak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sumit Nagal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mili Poljicak - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 341. Nagal is ranked ATP: 277.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nagal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poljicak won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mili Poljicak - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Mili Poljicak - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Mili Poljicak - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Mili Poljicak - Bozo Barun	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Mili Poljicak - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Petr Brunclik - Sumit Nagal	Nagal S. Retired ✺
01.06.26	Sumit Nagal - Mariano Kestelboim	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Sumit Nagal - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Sumit Nagal - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Sumit Nagal - Mili Poljicak	2:0

Mili Poljicak - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide