Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday


	Sumit Nagal		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.46	Watch
	1.56	2.55
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)	2.5 ↓ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
62.5%

Sergey Fomin
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergey Fomin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sumit Nagal - Sergey Fomin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fomin will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 282. Fomin is ranked ATP: 294.

Nagal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fomin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nagal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nagal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Marcos Giron - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Sumit Nagal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Sumit Nagal - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL
- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
25.05.26	Sergey Fomin - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Andrej Nedic - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.26	Sergey Fomin - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.05.23	Sumit Nagal - Sergey Fomin	2:0

Sumit Nagal - Sergey Fomin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide