Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split, clay - Final

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Mili Poljicak		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.91	1.98
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.01)	1.99 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
53.3%

Tom Gentzsch
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mili Poljicak's performance.

Tom Gentzsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tom Gentzsch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mili Poljicak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tom Gentzsch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mili Poljicak - Tom Gentzsch Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Poljicak will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gentzsch will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 396. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 248.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Poljicak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tom Gentzsch - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.12%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Mili Poljicak - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Matej Dodig - Mili Poljicak	Dodig M. Retired ✺
25.03.26	Mili Poljicak - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Mili Poljicak - Emanuel Ivanisevic	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W?WWL
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Tom Gentzsch - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Tom Gentzsch - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Tom Gentzsch - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Tom Gentzsch - Herman Hoeyeraal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

Mili Poljicak - Tom Gentzsch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide