Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GENOVA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: GENOVA (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Miljan Zekic		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.95	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.28)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miljan Zekic
34.2%

Stefano Napolitano
65.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miljan Zekic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miljan Zekic's form might have worsened.

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miljan Zekic than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miljan Zekic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Miljan Zekic - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefano Napolitano will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Napolitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Napolitano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zekic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miljan Zekic
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Benoit Paire - Miljan Zekic	1:2 ✺
04.09.23	Miljan Zekic - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Miljan Zekic - Giorgio Tabacco	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Miljan Zekic	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Miljan Zekic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLW
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Matteo Gigante - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Stefano Napolitano - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
01.09.23	Stefano Napolitano - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
31.08.23	Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano	Fognini F. retired ✺
29.08.23	Matteo Gigante - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Umag
17.07.17	Stefano Napolitano - Miljan Zekic	0:2
ATP Challenger
10.07.16	Miljan Zekic - Stefano Napolitano	2:1

Miljan Zekic - Stefano Napolitano