Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Leal M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Fabio Fognini		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.69
	2.2	1.7
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.16	1.66	Watch
	2.17	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.83)	1.64 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
42.7%

Stefano Napolitano
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Napolitano will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Fognini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Napolitano is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Napolitano to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fognini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Joris De Loore	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Fabio Fognini	Canceled ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
03.04.24	Laslo Djere - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 W?LWW
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Jozef Kovalik - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Leandro Riedi - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
12.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Vit Kopriva - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.08.23	Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano	Fognini F. retired

Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide