Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Miomir Kecmanovic

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	2.95	1.40	Watch
	3.11	1.35	Watch
	3.00	1.41
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.90	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.47)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
32.2%

Miomir Kecmanovic
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sho Shimabukuro's form might have worsened.

Miomir Kecmanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miomir Kecmanovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kecmanovic will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 109., and Kecmanovic is ranked ATP: 61..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Shimabukuro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kecmanovic holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Shimabukuro has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.78%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Denis Shapovalov - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Anton Shepp - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	James Watt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Arthur Rinderknech	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2

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