Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Dumusois D. (Fra)


	Miomir Kecmanovic		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.85	1.3
	3.95	1.3
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	9.4	1.06	Watch
	6.25	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (2.78)	1.25 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miomir Kecmanovic
21.2%

Grigor Dimitrov
78.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miomir Kecmanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miomir Kecmanovic's form might have worsened.

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grigor Dimitrov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miomir Kecmanovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grigor Dimitrov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Miomir Kecmanovic - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: Grigor Dimitrov will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kecmanovic is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dimitrov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dimitrov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dimitrov is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dimitrov to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kecmanovic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
01.04.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
29.02.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
31.03.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
17.03.21	Miomir Kecmanovic - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2

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