Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	1.04	13	Watch
	1.02	13	Watch
	1.05	14.45
	1.03	12.44	Watch
	1.04	11
	1.03	12.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↑ (1.02)	12.8 ↓ (13.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
92.5%

Grigor Dimitrov
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93.1%

6.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6 Games - Dimitrov (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Alcaraz Garfia (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 50%). Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 42.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3.

Alcaraz Garfia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dimitrov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dimitrov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - the odds 1.02 are the expected chance of winning is 93.06%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Doha
21.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Terence Atmane - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Terence Atmane - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
ATP Brisbane
08.01.26	Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Miami
28.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2
ATP Shanghai
11.10.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2
ATP London
23.06.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Madrid
30.04.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Paris
03.11.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0

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