Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Miomir Kecmanovic		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3	1.4
	3.14	1.4
	3.14	1.41
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	2.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.21)	1.41 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miomir Kecmanovic
32%

Matteo Berrettini
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miomir Kecmanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miomir Kecmanovic's form might have worsened.

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miomir Kecmanovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	0%	92.7%

Miomir Kecmanovic - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (38 of 41 users predict this - 92.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.71% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kecmanovic is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Berrettini in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kecmanovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Berrettini is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Berrettini to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kecmanovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Estoril
01.04.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
29.02.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Daniel Altmaier - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Marrakech
07.04.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Matteo Berrettini - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
16.03.22	Matteo Berrettini - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2

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