Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Miomir Kecmanovic		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.46	2.77
	2.98	1.39	Watch
	1.59	2.39	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.44)	2.35 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miomir Kecmanovic
57.2%

Stanislas Wawrinka
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miomir Kecmanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miomir Kecmanovic's form might have worsened.

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stanislas Wawrinka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miomir Kecmanovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Miomir Kecmanovic - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kecmanovic will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Wawrinka (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stanislas Wawrinka will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kecmanovic is ranked ATP: 49. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 137.

Recent performances by Kecmanovic have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wawrinka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wawrinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kecmanovic might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kecmanovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Miomir Kecmanovic - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.63%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Yanki Erel	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLL?
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Dan Added	Added D. walkover ✺
19.09.25	Martin Landaluce - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Robin Bertrand - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Justin Engel - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2

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