Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday


	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.42
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.81	1.45
	2.81	1.45
	2.62	1.44
	2.84	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
34.3%

Renata Zarazua
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miriam Bianca Bulgaru than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Users Predictions: Renata Zarazua will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Bianca Bulgaru is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zarazua is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zarazua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zarazua will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Zarazua to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
ATP Challenger
06.12.23	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Eva Vedder	2:1 ✺
05.12.23	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Anna Sinclair Rogers	2:0 ✺
30.11.23	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
28.11.23	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Amina Anshba	2:0 ✺
24.11.23	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Renata Zarazua
ATP Challenger
07.12.23	Gabriela Lee - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
05.12.23	Haley Giavara - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Renata Zarazua - Laura Pigossi	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Renata Zarazua - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
30.11.23	Renata Zarazua - Luisina Giovannini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

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